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Connecticut Responds To Global Warming: An Analysis of Connecticut's Emission Reduction Goals, Current Strategies, and Opportunities for Progress

2004-09-01

Connecticut_Responds_To_Global_Wamring.pdf Connecticut_Responds_To_Global_Wamring.pdf

Executive Summary

 

Connecticut can make major strides toward reducing its emissions of global warming gases over the next several decades – and meeting reduction goals outlined by the New England Governors and Eastern Canadian Premiers – by adopting the policy recommendations of the Connecticut Climate Change Stakeholder Dialogue (CCSD) in conjunction with a series of additional global warming measures outlined in this report.

In 2001, the governors of the six New England states and the premiers of the eastern Canadian provinces adopted a landmark commitment to reduce the region’s emissions of carbon dioxide and other gases that contribute to global warming. In December 2003, the Connecticut climate stakeholder group – which included participants from business, government, academia and the nonprofit sector – issued a series of 55 policy recommendations that would significantly reduce Connecticut’s emissions of global warming gases if implemented.

However, the stakeholder recommendations would not, on their own, reduce emissions to the degree called for in the regional agreement (to 1990 levels by 2010 and 10 percent below 1990 levels by 2020). In addition, the recommendations are not designed to achieve the long-term goal agreed to by the governors and premiers of stabilizing atmospheric concentrations of global warming gases at levels that will prevent dangerous interference with the climate system – a goal that will require emission reductions of 75 to 85 percent below current levels.

By adopting eight near-term policy strategies – and considering adoption of an additional eight strategies – Connecticut can achieve its short-term global warming emission reduction goals and lay the groundwork for further medium- and long-term reductions.

Global warming, caused by human-induced changes in the climate, is a major threat to Connecticut’s future.

• Since the beginning of the Industrial Age, atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide – the leading global warming gas – have increased by 31 percent, a rate of increase unprecedented in the last 20,000 years. Global average temperatures increased by about 1° F during the 20th century, a rate of increase greater than any in the last 1,000 years.

• The effects of global warming are beginning to appear in Connecticut and worldwide. Average temperatures in Connecticut have increased by about 1.4° F since 1895 and are expected to increase by between 2° F and 10° F over the next century. These temperature increases are expected to be accompanied by increased precipitation.

• The results of these changes could include higher sea levels, degraded air quality, increased heat-related deaths, and the loss of Connecticut’s hardwood forest species. These impacts can be expected to negatively affect Connecticut’s economy, the health of its citizens, and the state’s delicate environmental balance.

Emissions of global warming gases are on the rise in Connecticut.

• Between 1990 and 2000, Connecticut’s net emissions of global warming gases increased by 11 percent. According to projections compiled for the stakeholder dialogue, emissions could increase by an additional 21 percent between 2000 and 2020 in the absence of further action to reduce emissions.

Implementation of the Connecticut Climate Change Stakeholder Dialogue recommendations would represent a positive first step for Connecticut.

• Implementation of the stakeholder recommendations would reduce global warming emissions in Connecticut by 9 percent below projected levels by 2010 and 22 percent below projected levels by 2020. The recommendations achieve these goals largely through improved energy efficiency and reduced use of fossil fuels.

• Implementation of all 55 CCSD recommendations, however, would still not achieve emission reductions of the magnitude called for in the regional Climate Change Action Plan. The CCSD’s final report estimated that global warming emissions in Connecticut in 2010 would remain 4 percent above 1990 levels in 2010 and 2 percent above 1990 levels in 2020 (assuming continued operation of the state’s nuclear reactors beyond the expiration of their operating licenses).

Connecticut could significantly reduce its global warming emissions by adopting eight additional policy strategies.

• These eight policy strategies, if adopted and implemented along with the CCSD recommendations, would reduce Connecticut’s emissions of global warming gases to 1990 levels by 2010, and bring the state closer to achieving the regional reduction goal for 2020 – even without the relicensing of the region’s nuclear reactors, which pose significant threats to public health and the environment. (See Fig. ES- 1.) The strategies would also put Connecticut in a better position to make the long-term changes necessary to achieve the goal of eliminating the state’s negative impact on the climate.

The strategies are:

1. Setting energy-efficiency standards for at least seven residential and commercial appliances.

2. Reducing electricity use by increasing funding for energy efficiency programs through the state’s Conservation and Load Management Fund.

3. Reducing heating oil and natural gas use through conservation programs with sufficient funding to maximize efficiency savings.

4. Implementing “pay-as-you-drive” automobile insurance, in which insurance rates are calculated by the mile, rewarding those who drive less, while potentially reducing accidents.

5. Requiring the sale of low-rolling resistance replacement tires that improve vehicle efficiency without compromising safety.

6. Implementing a public sector emission reduction strategy with concrete, measurable goals.

7. Implementing and funding an aggressive strategy to promote the use of solar photovoltaic systems in homes and commercial buildings.

8. Adopting limits on carbon dioxide emissions from power plants.

Connecticut should also investigate additional policy strategies to further reduce global warming emissions.

• Connecticut should also consider the future adoption of a series of other strategies that could help the state achieve its emission reduction goals in both the short and long term. These strategies focus heavily on reducing emissions from cars and trucks, promoting “smart growth,” and encouraging the generation of clean electricity close to the point of use.

Connecticut should seize the opportunity to reduce its emissions of global warming gases.

• The governor and legislature should move forward with implementation of the recommendations of the Connecticut Climate Change Stakeholder Dialogue, and build upon the stakeholder process by continuing dialogue on such difficult issues as reducing vehicle-miles traveled, limiting suburban sprawl, and encouraging the development of non-fossil, nonnuclear sources of energy.

• The state should adopt the near-term measures listed in this report, thus closing the gap between the stakeholder process results and the regional goal for 2010 and narrowing the gap for 2020.

• Connecticut should continue to participate in regional efforts to reduce global warming gas emissions, particularly the efforts of the Conference of New England Governors and Eastern Canadian Premiers and the northeastern states’ negotiations to establish a regional power-sector carbon cap.

• Connecticut should commit to achieving the regional long-term global warming emission reduction goal by 2050 and begin to plan for making the technological and other changes that will be needed to achieve that goal.

• Connecticut can and should reduce its global warming emissions without increasing the use of nuclear power or extending the life of the state’s nuclear reactors beyond their current operating licenses.

 

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